NASA/TP-2006-214433, Wilson, Robert M. and Hathaway, David H., An Examination of Sunspot Number Rates of Growth and Decay in Relation to the Sunspot Cycle, George C. Marshall Space Flight Center, Marshall Space Flight Center, AL 35812, June 2006, pp. 32, Format(s): PDF 2328k |
On the basis of annual sunspot number averages, sunspot number rates of growth and decay are examined relative to both minimum and maximum amplitudes and the time of their occurrences using cycles 12 through present, the most reliably determined sunspot cycles. Indeed, strong correlations are found for predicting the minimum and maximum amplitudes and the time of their occurrences years in advance. As applied to predicting sunspot minimum for cycle 24, the next cycle, its minimum appears likely to occur in 2006, especially if it is a robust cycle similar in nature to cycles 17–23.
| Keywords: | sun, sunspot cycle, solar cycle, solar cycle prediction, rates of growth and decay, spotless days |
|---|---|
| Subjects: | Space Sciences: Solar Physics |
| ID Code: | 731 |
| Deposited On: | 23 October 2006 |